Thursday, October 1, 2009

Quick Swine Flu (H1N1) Numbers

With all the panic that is being spread about the swine flu, I thought I would crunch some numbers from the CDC to see what the odds of contracting, being hospitalized, or dying from the pig sickness actually are.

Once the study results from the new vaccine are released I want to compare the odds of getting sick from the vaccine as compared to getting getting the sickness itself.

If you see additional data on this topic please let me know.

If you have lived in the US (thru 8/30/09) you had a 1 in 304 (population of the US/1 million) chance of getting the swine flu. Those are pretty slim odds considering you had a 1 in 100 chance of being in a car accident.

IF you got the "Swine Flu" during that time you had a:

1 in 110 (0.91%) chance of being hospitalized.

1 in 1686 (0.06%) chance of dying from the infection.

See the link to the CDC data below:
"By August, the cumulative number of infections in the United States was estimated to be at least 1 million." "From mid-April to August 30, a total of 9,079 hospitalizations and 593 deaths associated with laboratory-confirmed 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus infections were reported to CDC"

*Please be advised that I am NOT a physician (or statistician for that matter) and this information should in no way supersede the advice of your doctor.

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